2016 RUB to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1653 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.0769 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1373 VEF

2016 RUB to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 0.1653. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.0769.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0884 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0826 to the December average rate of 0.1610, the exchange rate registered a net change of 94.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1653 was up 28.68% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1284, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 826 VEF

2015 Average 521 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 384 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 441.90 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1690

0.0740

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1182, compared to 0.1564 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0382 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1182

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1564

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0096 VEF (High: 0.0865 / Low: 0.0769). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0030 VEF (High: 0.1609 / Low: 0.1579).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0096

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0048 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0048

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1610) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0903), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0708 (+78.40%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1610

2015 Avg (December) 0.0903

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0865	0.0769	0.0826
February	0.0838	0.0793	0.0819
March	0.0939	0.0857	0.0906
April	0.1538	0.1455	0.1498
May	0.1537	0.1488	0.1513
June	0.1565	0.1490	0.1533
July	0.1586	0.1499	0.1552
August	0.1565	0.1493	0.1538
September	0.1586	0.1516	0.1547
October	0.1609	0.1579	0.1593
November	0.1576	0.1514	0.1546
December	0.1653	0.1557	0.1610