YEARLY HIGH
0.1913 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.0921 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1669 VEF

2014 RUB to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RUB to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.1913. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.0921.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0993 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1867 to the December average rate of 0.1127, the exchange rate registered a net change of -39.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1913 was down 6.12% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.2038, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 957 VEF
2013 Average 914 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 460 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 496.27 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1941
0.1053
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1799, compared to 0.1539 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0259 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1799
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1539

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0314 VEF (High: 0.1234 / Low: 0.0921). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0052 VEF (High: 0.1792 / Low: 0.1739).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0314
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0052

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0232 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0232

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.1867) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1421), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0447 (+31.43%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.1867
2013 Avg (January) 0.1421

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1913 0.1790 0.1867
February 0.1812 0.1746 0.1785
March 0.1787 0.1718 0.1740
April 0.1792 0.1739 0.1764
May 0.1842 0.1757 0.1804
June 0.1867 0.1795 0.1831
July 0.1851 0.1763 0.1812
August 0.1762 0.1697 0.1739
September 0.1710 0.1591 0.1658
October 0.1589 0.1466 0.1541
November 0.1463 0.1260 0.1359
December 0.1234 0.0921 0.1127