2011 SAR to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

246.2706 CDF

YEARLY LOW

236.6227 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

243.0544 CDF

2011 SAR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SAR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 14, valuing the pair at 246.2706. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 236.6227.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.6478 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 241.7669 to the December average rate of 241.2125, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 246.2706 was down 1.00% compared to the 2010 peak of 248.7619, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,231,353 CDF

2010 Average 1,193,964 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,183,114 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,239.11 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

244.5969

240.9049

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 242.9924, compared to 243.1165 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1240 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 242.9924

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 243.1165

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was January, with a trading range of 7.3687 CDF (High: 243.9914 / Low: 236.6227). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4212 CDF (High: 244.0622 / Low: 242.6409).

January Spread (Volatile) ±7.3687

May Spread (Stable) ±1.4212

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.5710 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5710

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 244.2892) against the same month in 2010 (average: 240.0232), the exchange rate shifted by +4.2661 (+1.78%).

2011 Avg (October) 244.2892

2010 Avg (October) 240.0232

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	243.9914	236.6227	241.7669
February	245.3474	241.9091	244.0769
March	245.3089	241.9802	243.4857
April	244.0992	241.9427	243.0123
May	244.0622	242.6409	243.5178
June	244.5805	240.6470	242.0950
July	245.3367	241.9859	243.1792
August	244.5072	240.6161	243.0107
September	245.2741	243.3144	244.2235
October	246.2706	241.7179	244.2892
November	244.1311	240.0123	242.7835
December	243.0823	239.3985	241.2125