YEARLY HIGH
318.4459 CDF
YEARLY LOW
242.8528 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
258.0561 CDF

2016 SAR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SAR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 318.4459. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 242.8528.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 75.5931 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 247.0008 to the December average rate of 310.5270, the exchange rate registered a net change of 25.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 318.4459 was up 28.15% compared to the 2015 peak of 248.5003, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,592,229 CDF
2015 Average 1,234,568 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 1,214,264 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 377,965.39 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

316.8796
240.6482
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 247.8402, compared to 268.2721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.4319 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 247.8402
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 268.2721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 60.7708 CDF (High: 305.2976 / Low: 244.5267). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1239 CDF (High: 247.8932 / Low: 246.7693).

November Spread (Volatile) ±60.7708
May Spread (Stable) ±1.1239

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.3245 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 310.5270) against the same month in 2015 (average: 246.9924), the exchange rate shifted by +63.5346 (+25.72%).

2016 Avg (December) 310.5270
2015 Avg (December) 246.9924

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 247.5272 246.1843 247.0008
February 248.2064 246.8803 247.5392
March 247.6040 246.1540 247.1562
April 247.9700 246.6619 247.4696
May 247.8932 246.7693 247.3746
June 256.0735 242.8528 250.5005
July 260.4514 251.4558 253.7372
August 262.0994 258.6049 260.4454
September 261.7493 258.7387 260.2854
October 261.4626 255.6802 258.9609
November 305.2976 244.5267 265.6765
December 318.4459 301.9302 310.5270