2011 SCR to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6645 UAH

YEARLY LOW

0.5799 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6418 UAH

2011 SCR to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 0.6645. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.5799.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0846 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6404 to the December average rate of 0.6010, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.6645 was down 9.94% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.7378, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,322 UAH

2010 Average 3,280 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 2,900 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 422.87 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.6591

0.5957

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6465, compared to 0.6371 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6465

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6371

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0435 UAH (High: 0.6234 / Low: 0.5799). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0196 UAH (High: 0.6571 / Low: 0.6375).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0435

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0196

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0264 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0264

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 0.6497) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.6294), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0203 (+3.22%).

2011 Avg (September) 0.6497

2010 Avg (September) 0.6294

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6549	0.6297	0.6404
February	0.6571	0.6375	0.6457
March	0.6585	0.6321	0.6461
April	0.6600	0.6393	0.6512
May	0.6588	0.6390	0.6447
June	0.6624	0.6402	0.6511
July	0.6631	0.6389	0.6538
August	0.6645	0.6376	0.6525
September	0.6645	0.6396	0.6497
October	0.6503	0.6229	0.6381
November	0.6401	0.6111	0.6274
December	0.6234	0.5799	0.6010