2019 SCR to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0721 UAH

YEARLY LOW

1.6947 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8880 UAH

2019 SCR to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 2.0721. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 1.6947.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3774 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0435 to the December average rate of 1.7196, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.0721 was down 1.81% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.1103, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,361 UAH

2018 Average 9,986 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 8,473 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,887.21 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.0758

1.6872

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9680, compared to 1.8081 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1599 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9680

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8081

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.2058 UAH (High: 2.0246 / Low: 1.8187). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0459 UAH (High: 1.8315 / Low: 1.7856).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2058

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0459

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0578 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2.0435) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.0476), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0041 (-0.20%).

2019 Avg (January) 2.0435

2018 Avg (January) 2.0476

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0721	2.0190	2.0435
February	2.0237	1.9569	1.9856
March	1.9933	1.9240	1.9621
April	1.9896	1.8982	1.9536
May	1.9688	1.9114	1.9288
June	1.9842	1.9139	1.9343
July	1.9252	1.8335	1.8801
August	2.0246	1.8187	1.8588
September	1.8493	1.7562	1.8037
October	1.8315	1.7856	1.8099
November	1.9144	1.7272	1.7766
December	1.7491	1.6947	1.7196