2016 SCR to UAH Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0947 UAH

YEARLY LOW

1.7935 UAH

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9260 UAH

2016 SCR to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 20, valuing the pair at 2.0947. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 1.7935.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3013 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8590 to the December average rate of 1.9631, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.0947 was up 1.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.0541, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,474 UAH

2015 Average 8,214 UAH

Yearly Trough Low 8,967 UAH

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,506.32 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.9931

1.8468

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9189, compared to 1.9332 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9189

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9332

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2698 UAH (High: 2.0947 / Low: 1.8250). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0747 UAH (High: 1.9823 / Low: 1.9077).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2698

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0717 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0717

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.9784) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.7434), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2350 (+13.48%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.9784

2015 Avg (February) 1.7434

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9243	1.7964	1.8590
February	2.0947	1.8250	1.9784
March	2.0264	1.9356	1.9748
April	1.9841	1.7935	1.9031
May	1.9299	1.8220	1.8933
June	1.9713	1.8541	1.9045
July	1.9628	1.8453	1.8866
August	1.9852	1.8457	1.8995
September	2.0281	1.9331	1.9809
October	1.9823	1.9077	1.9415
November	1.9864	1.9038	1.9278
December	2.0419	1.9102	1.9631