YEARLY HIGH
2.1103 UAH
YEARLY LOW
1.8561 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.9971 UAH

2018 SCR to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 2.1103. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 12, dropping to 1.8561.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2542 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0476 to the December average rate of 2.0290, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.1103 was up 0.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1047, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,552 UAH
2017 Average 9,793 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 9,281 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,271.08 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.0794
1.9144
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9658, compared to 2.0285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0627 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9658
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.1562 UAH (High: 2.0890 / Low: 1.9328). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0344 UAH (High: 1.9546 / Low: 1.9202).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1562
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0344

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0663 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0663

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.0476) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.0369), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0107 (+0.53%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.0476
2017 Avg (January) 2.0369

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.1103 1.9822 2.0476
February 2.0890 1.9328 1.9945
March 1.9667 1.8561 1.9281
April 1.9662 1.8963 1.9418
May 1.9572 1.8637 1.9408
June 1.9546 1.9202 1.9420
July 1.9771 1.9355 1.9473
August 2.0765 1.9836 2.0250
September 2.0925 1.9731 2.0656
October 2.0806 2.0133 2.0584
November 2.0771 2.0147 2.0455
December 2.0756 1.9745 2.0290