YEARLY HIGH
0.9862 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.6537 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7866 UGX

2015 SLL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SLL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 0.9862. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 17, dropping to 0.6537.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3326 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6777 to the December average rate of 0.8011, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.9862 was up 50.08% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.6572, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SLL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,931 UGX
2014 Average 2,994 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 3,268 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,662.83 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.0102
0.6292
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SLL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6908, compared to 0.8823 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1915 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6908
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8823

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 0.1885 UGX (High: 0.9488 / Low: 0.7603). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0087 UGX (High: 0.9835 / Low: 0.9747).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1885
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1856 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1856

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 0.9723) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.6136), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3588 (+58.47%).

2015 Avg (October) 0.9723
2014 Avg (October) 0.6136

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6952 0.6543 0.6777
February 0.6714 0.6537 0.6609
March 0.6906 0.6572 0.6741
April 0.6932 0.6803 0.6868
May 0.7058 0.6857 0.6949
June 0.7927 0.7018 0.7507
July 0.8663 0.7803 0.8171
August 0.9755 0.8665 0.9382
September 0.9835 0.9747 0.9784
October 0.9862 0.9441 0.9723
November 0.9488 0.7603 0.7868
December 0.8150 0.7800 0.8011