YEARLY HIGH
0.5159 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.3569 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4084 UGX

2020 SLL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SLL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 0.5159. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 0.3569.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1590 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4913 to the December average rate of 0.3619, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.5159 was down 2.37% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.5284, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SLL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,580 UGX
2019 Average 2,329 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,785 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 795.04 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.5088
0.3485
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SLL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4445, compared to 0.3722 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0723 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4445
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3722

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.1154 UGX (High: 0.5007 / Low: 0.3853). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0045 UGX (High: 0.3652 / Low: 0.3607).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1154
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0045

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0715 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0715

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 0.4954) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.4416), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0538 (+12.19%).

2020 Avg (March) 0.4954
2019 Avg (March) 0.4416

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4957 0.4892 0.4913
February 0.4917 0.4820 0.4851
March 0.5159 0.4867 0.4954
April 0.5007 0.3853 0.4239
May 0.3924 0.3843 0.3878
June 0.3875 0.3815 0.3835
July 0.3832 0.3759 0.3793
August 0.3762 0.3706 0.3734
September 0.3791 0.3720 0.3750
October 0.3783 0.3729 0.3757
November 0.3755 0.3569 0.3681
December 0.3652 0.3607 0.3619