2016 SLL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8619 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.5975 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7267 UGX

2016 SLL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SLL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 0.8619. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 0.5975.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2644 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8305 to the December average rate of 0.6511, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8619 was down 12.61% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9862, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SLL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,309 UGX

2015 Average 3,937 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,987 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,322.06 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8720

0.5756

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SLL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8338, compared to 0.6195 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2143 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8338

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6195

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.2047 UGX (High: 0.8569 / Low: 0.6522). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0095 UGX (High: 0.6181 / Low: 0.6085).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2047

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2023 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2023

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.8473) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6949), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1524 (+21.93%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.8473

2015 Avg (May) 0.6949

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8430	0.8089	0.8305
February	0.8445	0.8221	0.8368
March	0.8441	0.8210	0.8309
April	0.8476	0.8364	0.8425
May	0.8619	0.8405	0.8473
June	0.8569	0.6522	0.8146
July	0.6181	0.6085	0.6123
August	0.6147	0.5984	0.6067
September	0.6073	0.5975	0.6003
October	0.6164	0.5996	0.6102
November	0.6511	0.6165	0.6364
December	0.6590	0.6437	0.6511