YEARLY HIGH
0.6200 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.4401 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4876 UGX

2018 SLL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SLL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 0.6200. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 0.4401.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1799 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4748 to the December average rate of 0.4427, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6200 was down 6.85% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6656, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SLL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,100 UGX
2017 Average 2,424 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,201 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 899.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6024
0.4282
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SLL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4918, compared to 0.4835 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0083 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4918
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4835

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.1378 UGX (High: 0.6200 / Low: 0.4822). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 UGX (High: 0.4785 / Low: 0.4735).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1378
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0681 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0681

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.5660) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4782), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0877 (+18.35%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.5660
2017 Avg (June) 0.4782

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4776 0.4720 0.4748
February 0.4767 0.4706 0.4743
March 0.4785 0.4735 0.4762
April 0.4829 0.4758 0.4804
May 0.4863 0.4754 0.4789
June 0.6200 0.4822 0.5660
July 0.6186 0.5674 0.5879
August 0.5733 0.4456 0.5213
September 0.4562 0.4486 0.4532
October 0.4559 0.4464 0.4504
November 0.4479 0.4419 0.4454
December 0.4457 0.4401 0.4427