YEARLY HIGH
0.5284 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.3873 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4656 UGX

2019 SLL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SLL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 0.5284. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 12, dropping to 0.3873.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1411 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4415 to the December average rate of 0.4914, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.5284 was down 14.77% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.6200, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SLL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,642 UGX
2018 Average 2,439 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,936 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 705.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.5310
0.4293
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SLL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4442, compared to 0.4869 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0427 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4442
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4869

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1289 UGX (High: 0.5175 / Low: 0.3886). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 UGX (High: 0.4429 / Low: 0.4402).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1289
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0665 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0665

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 0.5225) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.5879), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0654 (-11.12%).

2019 Avg (July) 0.5225
2018 Avg (July) 0.5879

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4452 0.4359 0.4415
February 0.4415 0.4367 0.4378
March 0.4429 0.4402 0.4416
April 0.4479 0.4426 0.4456
May 0.4507 0.4462 0.4490
June 0.5240 0.4131 0.4496
July 0.5284 0.5171 0.5225
August 0.5175 0.3886 0.4560
September 0.5063 0.3873 0.4553
October 0.5030 0.4963 0.4994
November 0.4988 0.4952 0.4969
December 0.4981 0.4888 0.4914