YEARLY HIGH
3.8565 MAD
YEARLY LOW
3.1938 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5777 MAD

2018 TND to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TND to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 3.8565. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 10, dropping to 3.1938.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6627 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7841 to the December average rate of 3.2426, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.8565 was down 12.92% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4289, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,283 MAD
2017 Average 20,178 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 15,969 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,313.51 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8966
3.1832
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7742, compared to 3.3812 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3930 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7742
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3812

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.1222 MAD (High: 3.8474 / Low: 3.7252). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0512 MAD (High: 3.8565 / Low: 3.8053).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1222
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0512

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1321 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1321

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.8372) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.3989), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5617 (-12.77%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.8372
2017 Avg (February) 4.3989

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8444 3.7255 3.7841
February 3.8565 3.8053 3.8372
March 3.8525 3.7750 3.8219
April 3.8474 3.7252 3.7949
May 3.8113 3.7047 3.7379
June 3.7067 3.6222 3.6693
July 3.6248 3.5051 3.5874
August 3.5193 3.4169 3.4553
September 3.4169 3.3587 3.3848
October 3.3650 3.3005 3.3402
November 3.3270 3.2526 3.2769
December 3.2646 3.1938 3.2426