2016 TOP to SAR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7215 SAR

YEARLY LOW

1.6038 SAR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6659 SAR

2016 TOP to SAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to SAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 1.7215. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 1.6038.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1176 SAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6636 to the December average rate of 1.6471, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7215 was down 9.65% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,607 SAR

2015 Average 8,866 SAR

Yearly Trough Low 8,019 SAR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 588.20 SAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6921

1.6430

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to SAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6659, compared to 1.6658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6659

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0834 SAR (High: 1.7215 / Low: 1.6380). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0160 SAR (High: 1.6773 / Low: 1.6613).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0834

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0160

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0285 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0285

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 1.6756) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6867), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0110 (-0.66%).

2016 Avg (November) 1.6756

2015 Avg (November) 1.6867

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6825	1.6343	1.6636
February	1.6709	1.6038	1.6477
March	1.6784	1.6511	1.6646
April	1.6976	1.6714	1.6826
May	1.6883	1.6457	1.6658
June	1.6932	1.6428	1.6711
July	1.6713	1.6349	1.6560
August	1.6706	1.6516	1.6604
September	1.6773	1.6613	1.6677
October	1.7012	1.6655	1.6880
November	1.7215	1.6380	1.6756
December	1.6780	1.6111	1.6471