2012 TRY to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

48.4001 KES

YEARLY LOW

44.9767 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

46.9283 KES

2012 TRY to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the TRY to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 12, valuing the pair at 48.4001. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 44.9767.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4234 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 46.7746 to the December average rate of 48.0957, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 48.4001 was down 16.07% compared to the 2011 peak of 57.6663, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,420,003 KES

2011 Average 2,645,639 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,248,834 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 171,169.14 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

48.2737

46.1374

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.6420, compared to 47.2145 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5724 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.6420

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.2145

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 2.8764 KES (High: 47.8530 / Low: 44.9767). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5764 KES (High: 48.4001 / Low: 47.8237).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.8764

December Spread (Stable) ±0.5764

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.8795 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8795

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 48.0957) against the same month in 2011 (average: 46.2617), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8340 (+3.96%).

2012 Avg (December) 48.0957

2011 Avg (December) 46.2617

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	47.8530	44.9767	46.7746
February	47.8280	46.6424	47.1949
March	47.2145	45.3896	46.3154
April	47.2862	46.0367	46.5095
May	47.3499	45.9836	46.5995
June	46.7770	46.0799	46.4584
July	47.0414	45.9483	46.4407
August	47.3850	46.1069	46.8177
September	47.6974	46.3002	46.9792
October	47.5097	46.8953	47.2301
November	48.1531	47.3930	47.7235
December	48.4001	47.8237	48.0957