YEARLY HIGH
19.4462 KES
YEARLY LOW
16.4171 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.9779 KES

2019 TRY to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 19.4462. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 7, dropping to 16.4171.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0290 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.9561 to the December average rate of 17.3203, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 19.4462 was down 29.72% compared to the 2018 peak of 27.6680, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 972,308 KES
2018 Average 1,079,119 KES
Yearly Trough Low 820,856 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 151,451.42 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

19.2284
16.5341
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.0040, compared to 17.9518 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0522 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.0040
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.9518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 1.3678 KES (High: 18.8234 / Low: 17.4555). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3635 KES (High: 18.0958 / Low: 17.7322).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.3678
November Spread (Stable) ±0.3635

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.7960 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7960

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 18.9561) against the same month in 2018 (average: 27.2795), the exchange rate shifted by -8.3234 (-30.51%).

2019 Avg (January) 18.9561
2018 Avg (January) 27.2795

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.4462 18.5028 18.9561
February 19.2884 18.7444 19.0038
March 18.8234 17.4555 18.3079
April 18.2834 16.9298 17.5119
May 17.3509 16.4171 16.7587
June 17.8290 17.2182 17.4855
July 18.7437 17.8640 18.2019
August 18.8513 17.7147 18.2921
September 18.3788 17.7305 18.1698
October 18.2626 17.5023 17.8991
November 18.0958 17.7322 17.8277
December 17.8847 16.9132 17.3203