2014 TRY to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

42.1887 KES

YEARLY LOW

36.8163 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

40.2236 KES

2014 TRY to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TRY to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 26, valuing the pair at 42.1887. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 36.8163.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3724 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.8957 to the December average rate of 39.4210, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 42.1887 was down 15.67% compared to the 2013 peak of 50.0297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,109,435 KES

2013 Average 2,265,517 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,840,814 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 268,620.50 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

42.0983

38.6045

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.1736, compared to 40.2736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.1736

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.2736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 3.4427 KES (High: 40.2590 / Low: 36.8163). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6930 KES (High: 41.1940 / Low: 40.5011).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.4427

August Spread (Stable) ±0.6930

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.8609 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8609

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 41.8072) against the same month in 2013 (average: 46.1004), the exchange rate shifted by -4.2933 (-9.31%).

2014 Avg (May) 41.8072

2013 Avg (May) 46.1004

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	40.2590	36.8163	38.8957
February	39.6427	38.0264	39.0595
March	40.2396	38.5621	39.0937
April	41.2131	40.3372	40.8162
May	42.1887	41.2220	41.8072
June	42.1727	40.7819	41.3692
July	41.9727	41.0498	41.4177
August	41.1940	40.5011	40.8296
September	41.0742	39.1950	40.1455
October	40.5850	38.9209	39.5461
November	40.8106	39.7054	40.2819
December	40.7170	38.4617	39.4210