2018 TRY to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

27.6680 KES

YEARLY LOW

14.4862 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

21.6119 KES

2018 TRY to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 27.6680. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 14.4862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.1818 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.2795 to the December average rate of 19.2442, the exchange rate registered a net change of -29.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 27.6680 was down 8.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 30.3376, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,383,400 KES

2017 Average 1,419,731 KES

Yearly Trough Low 724,309 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 659,090.80 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

28.4089

14.8557

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.9017, compared to 18.3221 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.5796 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.9017

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.3221

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 5.7013 KES (High: 20.1875 / Low: 14.4862). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7037 KES (High: 19.7345 / Low: 19.0307).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5.7013

December Spread (Stable) ±0.7037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 4.0042 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 27.2795) against the same month in 2017 (average: 27.7380), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4585 (-1.65%).

2018 Avg (January) 27.2795

2017 Avg (January) 27.7380

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	27.6680	26.9448	27.2795
February	27.2841	26.3758	26.7910
March	26.6637	25.1033	25.9918
April	25.4626	24.3125	24.7670
May	24.4905	21.2499	22.7561
June	22.5263	21.2631	21.8245
July	22.0675	20.4525	21.1045
August	20.1875	14.4862	17.1003
September	16.8150	15.1233	15.9852
October	18.6112	16.3180	17.4080
November	19.8282	18.4425	19.0902
December	19.7345	19.0307	19.2442