YEARLY HIGH
7.0009 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.2513 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9966 KES

2023 TRY to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TRY to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 7.0009. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 5.2513.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7496 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5999 to the December average rate of 5.3078, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 7.0009 was down 19.18% compared to the 2022 peak of 8.6625, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 350,044 KES
2022 Average 359,805 KES
Yearly Trough Low 262,565 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 87,479.33 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

7.1109
5.1358
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6470, compared to 5.3462 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6470
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3462

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.2661 KES (High: 6.6337 / Low: 5.3676). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0556 KES (High: 6.6200 / Low: 6.5644).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.2661
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0556

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.0297 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0297

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2023: 6.9406) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.4565), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5159 (-6.92%).

2023 Avg (May) 6.9406
2022 Avg (May) 7.4565

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.6200 6.5644 6.5999
February 6.7300 6.6175 6.6655
March 6.9089 6.6870 6.8191
April 6.9981 6.8953 6.9463
May 7.0009 6.6793 6.9406
June 6.6337 5.3676 5.9109
July 5.4290 5.2537 5.3421
August 5.5925 5.2531 5.3414
September 5.4568 5.3900 5.4338
October 5.4011 5.2513 5.3520
November 5.3318 5.2642 5.3004
December 5.3623 5.2710 5.3078