2011 UGX to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.3386 GNF

YEARLY LOW

2.2742 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7596 GNF

2011 UGX to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 3.3386. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 6, dropping to 2.2742.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0644 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1010 to the December average rate of 2.8280, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 3.3386 was up 7.43% compared to the 2010 peak of 3.1077, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,693 GNF

2010 Average 12,779 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 11,371 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,322.06 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

3.2193

2.2649

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9793, compared to 2.5399 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4393 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9793

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5399

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was January, with a trading range of 0.3588 GNF (High: 3.3245 / Low: 2.9657). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0737 GNF (High: 3.0273 / Low: 2.9536).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3588

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0737

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2265 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2265

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2011: 3.1398) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.5143), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6255 (+24.88%).

2011 Avg (February) 3.1398

2010 Avg (February) 2.5143

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.3245	2.9657	3.1010
February	3.3386	3.0443	3.1398
March	3.2202	2.9049	2.9760
April	3.0273	2.9536	2.9759
May	3.0245	2.7634	2.9548
June	2.8108	2.5053	2.7283
July	2.6303	2.5504	2.5821
August	2.5595	2.3411	2.4391
September	2.4177	2.2742	2.3444
October	2.6180	2.3150	2.4145
November	2.7580	2.5440	2.6316
December	2.9448	2.6641	2.8280