2015 UGX to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5437 GNF

YEARLY LOW

1.9243 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2869 GNF

2015 UGX to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 17, valuing the pair at 2.5437. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 18, dropping to 1.9243.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6194 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4778 to the December average rate of 2.2980, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 2.5437 was down 11.81% compared to the 2014 peak of 2.8842, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,718 GNF

2014 Average 13,506 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 9,621 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,096.79 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

2.5637

1.9395

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4386, compared to 2.1352 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4386

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1352

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 0.2766 GNF (High: 2.3278 / Low: 2.0511). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0594 GNF (High: 2.0291 / Low: 1.9697).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2766

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0594

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1311 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1311

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 2.5117) against the same month in 2014 (average: 2.8400), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3283 (-11.56%).

2015 Avg (February) 2.5117

2014 Avg (February) 2.8400

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5330	2.4287	2.4778
February	2.5437	2.4775	2.5117
March	2.5308	2.4109	2.4589
April	2.4622	2.3861	2.4328
May	2.4919	2.4040	2.4404
June	2.4244	2.2000	2.3103
July	2.3078	2.0619	2.1892
August	2.1216	1.9845	2.0581
September	2.0291	1.9697	1.9915
October	2.0854	1.9243	2.0113
November	2.3278	2.0511	2.2634
December	2.3364	2.2445	2.2980