2012 UGX to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0096 GNF

YEARLY LOW

2.6003 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8163 GNF

2012 UGX to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 10, valuing the pair at 3.0096. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 2.6003.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4094 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8847 to the December average rate of 2.6418, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.0096 was down 9.85% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.3386, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,048 GNF

2011 Average 13,787 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 13,001 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,046.94 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.9918

2.6100

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8556, compared to 2.7770 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0786 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8556

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7770

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.1999 GNF (High: 3.0096 / Low: 2.8098). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0676 GNF (High: 2.9147 / Low: 2.8471).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1999

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0676

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1205 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1205

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 2.9600) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.1398), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1798 (-5.73%).

2012 Avg (February) 2.9600

2011 Avg (February) 3.1398

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.9916	2.8059	2.8847
February	3.0096	2.8098	2.9600
March	2.8912	2.7590	2.8395
April	2.8525	2.7562	2.8008
May	2.8469	2.6813	2.8141
June	2.9047	2.7897	2.8343
July	2.9147	2.8471	2.8800
August	2.8994	2.8237	2.8691
September	2.8657	2.7525	2.8150
October	2.7851	2.7011	2.7466
November	2.7678	2.6252	2.7092
December	2.6837	2.6003	2.6418