2013 UGX to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.8019 GNF

YEARLY LOW

2.5989 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7149 GNF

2013 UGX to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 2.8019. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 2.5989.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2030 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6483 to the December average rate of 2.7741, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.8019 was down 6.90% compared to the 2012 peak of 3.0096, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,010 GNF

2012 Average 14,079 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 12,995 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,015.15 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.7867

2.6357

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6988, compared to 2.7311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0322 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6988

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1058 GNF (High: 2.7558 / Low: 2.6501). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0421 GNF (High: 2.7079 / Low: 2.6658).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1058

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0421

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0382 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0382

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 2.7741) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.6418), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1323 (+5.01%).

2013 Avg (December) 2.7741

2012 Avg (December) 2.6418

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6774	2.5989	2.6483
February	2.7040	2.6113	2.6652
March	2.7558	2.6501	2.7009
April	2.7883	2.7025	2.7485
May	2.7825	2.7041	2.7341
June	2.7243	2.6380	2.6959
July	2.7079	2.6658	2.6863
August	2.7251	2.6794	2.7030
September	2.7433	2.6597	2.7024
October	2.7965	2.7029	2.7501
November	2.7953	2.7205	2.7704
December	2.8019	2.7355	2.7741