2011 UGX to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0360 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.0259 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0294 NPR

2011 UGX to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 0.0360. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 31, dropping to 0.0259.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0101 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0306 to the December average rate of 0.0343, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0360 was down 4.41% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0377, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 180 NPR

2010 Average 164 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 129 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 50.59 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0350

0.0255

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0300, compared to 0.0289 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0300

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0289

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0036 NPR (High: 0.0360 / Low: 0.0324). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 NPR (High: 0.0304 / Low: 0.0297).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0036

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0018 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0018

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.0343) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0307), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0035 (+11.54%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.0343

2010 Avg (December) 0.0307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0312	0.0298	0.0306
February	0.0309	0.0297	0.0303
March	0.0299	0.0292	0.0296
April	0.0305	0.0296	0.0299
May	0.0304	0.0297	0.0301
June	0.0301	0.0268	0.0293
July	0.0280	0.0269	0.0274
August	0.0270	0.0259	0.0263
September	0.0275	0.0259	0.0269
October	0.0298	0.0268	0.0277
November	0.0326	0.0294	0.0310
December	0.0360	0.0324	0.0343