2016 UGX to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0328 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.0299 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0315 NPR

2016 UGX to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 27, valuing the pair at 0.0328. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 0.0299.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0029 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0312 to the December average rate of 0.0302, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0328 was down 10.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0366, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 164 NPR

2015 Average 159 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 150 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14.34 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0322

0.0300

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0318, compared to 0.0311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0318

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0015 NPR (High: 0.0328 / Low: 0.0313). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 NPR (High: 0.0319 / Low: 0.0316).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.0318) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0346), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0027 (-7.89%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.0318

2015 Avg (February) 0.0346

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0315	0.0308	0.0312
February	0.0328	0.0313	0.0318
March	0.0325	0.0315	0.0319
April	0.0322	0.0314	0.0318
May	0.0321	0.0318	0.0320
June	0.0322	0.0317	0.0320
July	0.0319	0.0316	0.0318
August	0.0319	0.0316	0.0317
September	0.0318	0.0314	0.0316
October	0.0314	0.0309	0.0311
November	0.0308	0.0302	0.0304
December	0.0305	0.0299	0.0302