YEARLY HIGH
0.0408 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.0357 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0377 NPR

2014 UGX to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 0.0408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 0.0357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0051 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0397 to the December average rate of 0.0363, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0408 was down 1.95% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0416, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204 NPR
2013 Average 181 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 178 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25.41 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0408
0.0358
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0386, compared to 0.0367 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0019 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0386
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0367

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.0018 NPR (High: 0.0394 / Low: 0.0375). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 NPR (High: 0.0376 / Low: 0.0372).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0018 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0018

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.0397) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0324), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0074 (+22.81%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.0397
2013 Avg (January) 0.0324

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0408 0.0392 0.0397
February 0.0406 0.0392 0.0403
March 0.0394 0.0375 0.0386
April 0.0389 0.0375 0.0383
May 0.0383 0.0370 0.0377
June 0.0374 0.0369 0.0371
July 0.0371 0.0361 0.0366
August 0.0376 0.0372 0.0374
September 0.0376 0.0370 0.0373
October 0.0374 0.0363 0.0368
November 0.0368 0.0357 0.0362
December 0.0369 0.0357 0.0363