YEARLY HIGH
0.0304 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.0280 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0288 NPR

2017 UGX to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 0.0304. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 2, dropping to 0.0280.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0023 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0301 to the December average rate of 0.0283, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.0304 was down 7.35% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.0328, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 152 NPR
2016 Average 157 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 140 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11.69 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.0303
0.0281
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0291, compared to 0.0285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0291
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was March, with a trading range of 0.0012 NPR (High: 0.0299 / Low: 0.0287). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 NPR (High: 0.0304 / Low: 0.0299).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0012
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 0.0301) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.0312), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0011 (-3.59%).

2017 Avg (January) 0.0301
2016 Avg (January) 0.0312

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0304 0.0299 0.0301
February 0.0301 0.0296 0.0299
March 0.0299 0.0287 0.0292
April 0.0287 0.0282 0.0285
May 0.0287 0.0282 0.0284
June 0.0289 0.0284 0.0287
July 0.0288 0.0283 0.0286
August 0.0286 0.0280 0.0283
September 0.0292 0.0282 0.0286
October 0.0290 0.0284 0.0286
November 0.0287 0.0283 0.0285
December 0.0287 0.0281 0.0283