YEARLY HIGH
0.0327 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.0308 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0319 NPR

2020 UGX to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 17, valuing the pair at 0.0327. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.0308.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0019 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0310 to the December average rate of 0.0321, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0327 was up 4.06% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0314, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 164 NPR
2019 Average 152 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 154 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9.43 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0326
0.0308
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0317, compared to 0.0321 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0317
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0321

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0010 NPR (High: 0.0320 / Low: 0.0310). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 NPR (High: 0.0319 / Low: 0.0316).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0010
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2020: 0.0324) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0298), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0027 (+8.91%).

2020 Avg (June) 0.0324
2019 Avg (June) 0.0298

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0312 0.0308 0.0310
February 0.0314 0.0309 0.0311
March 0.0320 0.0310 0.0316
April 0.0326 0.0318 0.0322
May 0.0321 0.0316 0.0319
June 0.0327 0.0319 0.0324
July 0.0326 0.0321 0.0324
August 0.0327 0.0319 0.0324
September 0.0319 0.0316 0.0318
October 0.0319 0.0313 0.0316
November 0.0323 0.0317 0.0320
December 0.0325 0.0319 0.0321