2018 XCD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1446.5370 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1342.2878 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1378.8065 UGX

2018 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1446.5370. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 1342.2878.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 104.2491 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1346.7768 to the December average rate of 1374.2710, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1446.5370 was up 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 1356.0896, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,232,685 UGX

2017 Average 6,690,441 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,711,439 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 521,245.61 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1427.5597

1339.3282

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1368.8720, compared to 1388.7410 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 19.8690 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1368.8720

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1388.7410

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 80.0751 UGX (High: 1443.1975 / Low: 1363.1224). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.7729 UGX (High: 1354.2580 / Low: 1342.4851).

July Spread (Volatile) ±80.0751

January Spread (Stable) ±11.7729

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 30.2787 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.2787

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1420.2071) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1328.2851), the exchange rate shifted by +91.9220 (+6.92%).

2018 Avg (June) 1420.2071

2017 Avg (June) 1328.2851

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1354.2580	1342.4851	1346.7768
February	1355.5716	1342.2878	1346.6809
March	1365.7102	1347.3324	1352.6057
April	1374.9977	1360.8074	1367.7965
May	1396.8026	1372.3705	1379.1651
June	1446.5370	1395.9647	1420.2071
July	1443.1975	1363.1224	1389.9284
August	1395.0233	1363.6029	1380.3066
September	1416.2192	1392.7975	1406.9737
October	1415.1969	1385.9178	1398.1425
November	1390.3938	1371.6735	1382.8236
December	1383.7930	1366.3553	1374.2710