YEARLY HIGH
1399.0950 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1341.0124 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1370.6811 UGX

2019 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1399.0950. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 1341.0124.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 58.0825 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1370.6471 to the December average rate of 1359.6557, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1399.0950 was down 3.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 1446.5370, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,995,475 UGX
2018 Average 6,894,495 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,705,062 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 290,412.62 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1397.2136
1355.6968
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1376.5083, compared to 1364.8539 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 11.6544 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1376.5083
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1364.8539

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 35.8740 UGX (High: 1395.8079 / Low: 1359.9338). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.1929 UGX (High: 1374.8050 / Low: 1366.6121).

June Spread (Volatile) ±35.8740
March Spread (Stable) ±8.1929

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 13.2559 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -13.2559

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1393.7539) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1379.1651), the exchange rate shifted by +14.5888 (+1.06%).

2019 Avg (May) 1393.7539
2018 Avg (May) 1379.1651

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1382.1628 1353.3672 1370.6471
February 1370.4799 1355.8686 1359.1566
March 1374.8050 1366.6121 1370.9458
April 1390.6121 1373.9200 1383.3608
May 1399.0950 1385.2502 1393.7539
June 1395.8079 1359.9338 1381.1856
July 1378.0532 1364.2368 1367.9297
August 1370.3108 1341.0124 1365.6664
September 1366.3193 1348.4670 1359.9829
October 1379.7399 1356.7372 1368.2663
November 1372.7698 1362.9912 1367.6224
December 1370.9213 1354.2122 1359.6557