YEARLY HIGH
1399.1790 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1279.5135 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1361.8614 UGX

2026 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 1399.1790. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 1279.5135.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 119.6656 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1320.5236 to the December average rate of 1369.6227, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1399.1790 was up 1.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 1383.7312, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,995,895 UGX
2025 Average 6,663,724 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,397,567 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 598,327.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1401.1289
1311.6532
JanuMarcMayJuly

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1360.5679, compared to 1369.6227 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.0548 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1360.5679
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1369.6227

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 67.4222 UGX (High: 1399.1790 / Low: 1331.7569). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.5266 UGX (High: 1397.4127 / Low: 1382.8860).

March Spread (Volatile) ±67.4222
May Spread (Stable) ±14.5266

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 18.8557 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -18.8557

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 1379.7040) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1356.3882), the exchange rate shifted by +23.3158 (+1.72%).

2026 Avg (March) 1379.7040
2025 Avg (March) 1356.3882

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1341.8055 1279.5135 1320.5236
February 1333.4395 1305.8461 1319.1095
March 1399.1790 1331.7569 1379.7040
April 1389.8210 1361.8674 1375.5805
May 1397.4127 1382.8860 1393.6726
June 1394.9378 1346.2447 1374.8169
July 1395.2777 1350.9411 1369.6227