YEARLY HIGH
1383.7312 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1262.7466 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1332.9220 UGX

2025 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 1383.7312. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 1262.7466.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 120.9846 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1364.6177 to the December average rate of 1322.3706, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 1383.7312 was down 5.34% compared to the 2024 peak of 1461.8014, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,918,656 UGX
2024 Average 6,949,365 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,313,733 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 604,923.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

1372.8480
1274.0848
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1354.7786, compared to 1311.0653 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 43.7132 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1354.7786
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1311.0653

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 68.3311 UGX (High: 1353.5737 / Low: 1285.2426). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.4190 UGX (High: 1330.3478 / Low: 1323.9288).

November Spread (Volatile) ±68.3311
July Spread (Stable) ±6.4190

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 19.4177 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.4177

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 1361.7073) against the same month in 2024 (average: 1432.7743), the exchange rate shifted by -71.0670 (-4.96%).

2025 Avg (February) 1361.7073
2024 Avg (February) 1432.7743

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1374.1565 1357.4678 1364.6177
February 1383.7312 1357.6394 1361.7073
March 1362.8669 1340.3974 1356.3882
April 1375.7886 1348.2955 1357.3870
May 1358.7473 1344.3783 1353.5526
June 1348.2184 1326.5364 1335.0186
July 1330.3478 1323.9288 1326.7046
August 1326.0219 1304.0496 1317.4055
September 1311.5203 1288.8876 1297.9878
October 1296.7003 1262.7466 1282.3151
November 1353.5737 1285.2426 1319.6085
December 1340.6151 1308.4907 1322.3706