YEARLY HIGH
1412.6473 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1326.3122 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1377.7884 UGX

2023 XCD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the XCD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 1412.6473. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 1326.3122.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 86.3351 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1366.0442 to the December average rate of 1399.3008, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1412.6473 was down 2.11% compared to the 2022 peak of 1443.0827, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,063,236 UGX
2022 Average 6,827,195 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,631,561 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 431,675.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1403.7628
1350.2181
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1374.5998, compared to 1380.9770 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.3772 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1374.5998
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1380.9770

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 59.2237 UGX (High: 1385.5359 / Low: 1326.3122). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 17.6239 UGX (High: 1408.4000 / Low: 1390.7762).

August Spread (Volatile) ±59.2237
December Spread (Stable) ±17.6239

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 16.0799 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -16.0799

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 1397.8642) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1389.0453), the exchange rate shifted by +8.8189 (+0.63%).

2023 Avg (November) 1397.8642
2022 Avg (November) 1389.0453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1380.8505 1353.4063 1366.0442
February 1378.0327 1350.3019 1364.2353
March 1402.0797 1367.0852 1382.7280
April 1399.5560 1374.5258 1384.9605
May 1398.2630 1372.9289 1378.8708
June 1389.1595 1351.4316 1370.7600
July 1367.9505 1332.3595 1354.6801
August 1385.5359 1326.3122 1361.9794
September 1394.6955 1374.6626 1383.4599
October 1400.1674 1379.5700 1388.5775
November 1412.6473 1388.0495 1397.8642
December 1408.4000 1390.7762 1399.3008