YEARLY HIGH
32.3785 HNL
YEARLY LOW
30.8197 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.6410 HNL

2016 XDR to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XDR to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 23, valuing the pair at 32.3785. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 30.8197.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5588 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.9993 to the December average rate of 31.4115, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 32.3785 was up 3.69% compared to the 2015 peak of 31.2262, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 161,893 HNL
2015 Average 151,798 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 154,099 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,793.91 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

32.0628
30.9026
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.6070, compared to 31.6750 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0680 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.6070
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.6750

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was October, with a trading range of 0.8440 HNL (High: 31.9993 / Low: 31.1554). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2906 HNL (High: 31.1104 / Low: 30.8197).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.8440
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2906

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4037 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4037

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 31.9508) against the same month in 2015 (average: 30.6744), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2764 (+4.16%).

2016 Avg (June) 31.9508
2015 Avg (June) 30.6744

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.1104 30.8197 30.9993
February 31.7772 31.0051 31.4768
March 31.8171 31.2705 31.5602
April 32.0103 31.6365 31.7967
May 32.1666 31.7216 31.8583
June 32.3785 31.5940 31.9508
July 31.9250 31.4854 31.6887
August 32.2248 31.7987 31.9505
September 32.1259 31.7814 31.9661
October 31.9993 31.1554 31.5625
November 31.8048 31.2648 31.4709
December 31.7192 31.1309 31.4115