YEARLY HIGH
402.0737 UGX
YEARLY LOW
281.5661 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
348.8177 UGX

2011 ZAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ZAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 1, valuing the pair at 402.0737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 281.5661.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 120.5077 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 336.3906 to the December average rate of 299.7036, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 402.0737 was up 14.56% compared to the 2010 peak of 350.9767, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,103,687 UGX
2010 Average 14,932,644 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 14,078,304 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,025,383.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

397.4676
290.8159
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 345.4308, compared to 352.2046 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.7738 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 345.4308
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 352.2046

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 57.9525 UGX (High: 402.0737 / Low: 344.1213). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.1968 UGX (High: 354.6593 / Low: 339.4626).

September Spread (Volatile) ±57.9525
March Spread (Stable) ±15.1968

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 35.4192 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -35.4192

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 374.0168) against the same month in 2010 (average: 316.0704), the exchange rate shifted by +57.9464 (+18.33%).

2011 Avg (September) 374.0168
2010 Avg (September) 316.0704

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 351.2504 319.7596 336.3906
February 338.8011 317.6334 326.8143
March 354.6593 339.4626 346.8599
April 361.7695 344.3007 352.9145
May 361.7695 339.5171 348.5444
June 391.5935 352.1649 361.0610
July 390.6218 368.3852 381.8074
August 401.3548 376.3523 388.5800
September 402.0737 344.1213 374.0168
October 369.8320 328.8066 352.2695
November 334.5484 299.3028 316.8503
December 315.1723 281.5661 299.7036