YEARLY HIGH
220.9578 UGX
YEARLY LOW
188.5038 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
202.0208 UGX

2023 ZAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ZAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 220.9578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 25, dropping to 188.5038.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.4540 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 216.2034 to the December average rate of 203.3836, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 220.9578 was down 10.95% compared to the 2022 peak of 248.1267, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,047,890 UGX
2022 Average 11,297,823 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 9,425,190 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,622,699.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

218.3017
193.1220
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 204.2693, compared to 199.7722 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.4971 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 204.2693
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 199.7722

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 16.1893 UGX (High: 212.8838 / Low: 196.6945). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.4322 UGX (High: 200.3800 / Low: 193.9478).

March Spread (Volatile) ±16.1893
September Spread (Stable) ±6.4322

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.8505 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.8505

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 216.2034) against the same month in 2022 (average: 227.7027), the exchange rate shifted by -11.4992 (-5.05%).

2023 Avg (January) 216.2034
2022 Avg (January) 227.7027

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 220.9578 211.8993 216.2034
February 216.1666 201.8000 205.7650
March 212.8838 196.6945 204.5690
April 212.1596 202.4267 206.0708
May 203.4028 188.5038 195.2203
June 203.4660 191.0606 197.7874
July 208.0155 192.2532 201.1060
August 202.1979 190.5877 195.9822
September 200.3800 193.9478 197.1386
October 202.8938 191.3682 197.1990
November 208.2358 200.3421 203.8238
December 207.0077 198.8426 203.3836