2016 ZAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

268.1576 UGX

YEARLY LOW

204.8842 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

233.2485 UGX

2016 ZAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ZAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 268.1576. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 204.8842.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 63.2733 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 211.6996 to the December average rate of 259.7561, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 268.1576 was down 4.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 281.4020, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,407,878 UGX

2015 Average 12,691,857 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,244,211 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,163,666.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

264.5617

206.8940

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 219.7087, compared to 246.7884 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.0797 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 219.7087

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 246.7884

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 22.3646 UGX (High: 252.7136 / Low: 230.3490). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.7609 UGX (High: 242.4064 / Low: 229.6454).

August Spread (Volatile) ±22.3646

July Spread (Stable) ±12.7609

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.1355 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.1355

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 259.7561) against the same month in 2015 (average: 223.4194), the exchange rate shifted by +36.3367 (+16.26%).

2016 Avg (December) 259.7561

2015 Avg (December) 223.4194

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	219.1370	204.8842	211.6996
February	225.3274	208.3073	216.9898
March	228.1665	212.0997	218.9016
April	233.4231	220.4436	228.7814
May	233.7071	213.0106	218.6458
June	233.5608	214.8994	223.2338
July	242.4064	229.6454	234.7380
August	252.7136	230.3490	245.0177
September	250.6796	231.4425	240.1626
October	255.1165	239.6142	246.3156
November	263.8262	246.2157	254.7404
December	268.1576	253.5814	259.7561