YEARLY HIGH
281.4020 UGX
YEARLY LOW
212.3768 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
253.7978 UGX

2015 ZAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ZAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 8, valuing the pair at 281.4020. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 212.3768.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 69.0252 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 246.6660 to the December average rate of 223.4194, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 281.4020 was up 11.59% compared to the 2014 peak of 252.1693, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,070,102 UGX
2014 Average 11,981,301 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 10,618,842 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,451,259.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

279.8617
218.2882
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 249.7062, compared to 257.8893 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.1831 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 249.7062
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 257.8893

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 27.2699 UGX (High: 271.7811 / Low: 244.5113). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.8714 UGX (High: 254.0185 / Low: 248.1471).

June Spread (Volatile) ±27.2699
May Spread (Stable) ±5.8714

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 27.8446 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.8446

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2015: 268.9999) against the same month in 2014 (average: 246.8352), the exchange rate shifted by +22.1648 (+8.98%).

2015 Avg (July) 268.9999
2014 Avg (July) 246.8352

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 252.9982 237.0537 246.6660
February 253.3422 243.5857 247.7436
March 250.6689 233.6147 243.9366
April 254.8052 246.1634 249.6260
May 254.0185 248.1471 251.2650
June 271.7811 244.5113 259.0001
July 281.4020 262.1398 268.9999
August 279.5342 269.7964 274.7306
September 274.6910 261.2891 268.3716
October 280.0050 256.6271 269.8296
November 257.3721 232.3334 241.9850
December 232.0009 212.3768 223.4194