YEARLY HIGH
252.1693 UGX
YEARLY LOW
219.6960 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
239.5292 UGX

2014 ZAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ZAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 26, valuing the pair at 252.1693. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 219.6960.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 32.4733 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 230.5530 to the December average rate of 240.6324, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 252.1693 was down 20.93% compared to the 2013 peak of 318.9083, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,608,463 UGX
2013 Average 13,460,451 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 10,984,799 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,623,663.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

249.0084
222.9292
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 235.9470, compared to 243.1113 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.1644 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 235.9470
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 243.1113

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 20.5815 UGX (High: 240.2775 / Low: 219.6960). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.2012 UGX (High: 247.2869 / Low: 242.0858).

January Spread (Volatile) ±20.5815
August Spread (Stable) ±5.2012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 6.3969 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.3969

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 246.4499) against the same month in 2013 (average: 247.3875), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9376 (-0.38%).

2014 Avg (November) 246.4499
2013 Avg (November) 247.3875

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 240.2775 219.6960 230.5530
February 234.7896 220.1205 225.1025
March 241.4882 232.2960 235.7288
April 243.8244 235.5019 239.5784
May 245.3860 239.8566 243.1410
June 245.9938 237.1101 241.5781
July 250.2942 243.2475 246.8352
August 247.2869 242.0858 244.8278
September 244.8637 234.8470 238.4309
October 249.0492 233.5796 241.4919
November 252.1693 239.8118 246.4499
December 251.8833 237.2337 240.6324