2013 ARS to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3491 EGP

YEARLY LOW

1.0641 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2619 EGP

2013 ARS to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 1.3491. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 1.0641.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2849 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3248 to the December average rate of 1.0897, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.3491 was down 3.76% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.4018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,745 EGP

2012 Average 6,683 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 5,321 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,424.73 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.3682

1.0644

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3301, compared to 1.1937 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1363 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3301

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1937

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0574 EGP (High: 1.1216 / Low: 1.0641). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0079 EGP (High: 1.3359 / Low: 1.3280).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0574

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0079

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0564 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0564

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1.3429) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.3885), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0456 (-3.28%).

2013 Avg (February) 1.3429

2012 Avg (February) 1.3885

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.3465	1.2905	1.3248
February	1.3491	1.3362	1.3429
March	1.3359	1.3280	1.3326
April	1.3401	1.3285	1.3357
May	1.3376	1.3220	1.3309
June	1.3223	1.3043	1.3134
July	1.3033	1.2725	1.2891
August	1.2702	1.2322	1.2530
September	1.2328	1.1909	1.2052
October	1.1899	1.1663	1.1793
November	1.1638	1.1218	1.1461
December	1.1216	1.0641	1.0897