2018 ARS to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9647 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.4321 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6802 EGP

2018 ARS to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.9647. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.4321.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5326 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9319 to the December average rate of 0.4738, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9647 was down 19.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2002, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,823 EGP

2017 Average 5,403 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 2,160 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,662.96 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9786

0.4175

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8329, compared to 0.5275 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8329

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5275

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1948 EGP (High: 0.6550 / Low: 0.4603). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0113 EGP (High: 0.8767 / Low: 0.8654).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1948

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1383 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1383

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.9319) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.1725), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2406 (-20.52%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.9319

2017 Avg (January) 1.1725

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9647	0.8989	0.9319
February	0.9113	0.8724	0.8912
March	0.8767	0.8654	0.8719
April	0.8797	0.8601	0.8729
May	0.8588	0.7133	0.7576
June	0.7183	0.6183	0.6720
July	0.6581	0.6183	0.6478
August	0.6550	0.4603	0.6026
September	0.4831	0.4321	0.4643
October	0.4990	0.4537	0.4839
November	0.5048	0.4594	0.4927
December	0.4903	0.4668	0.4738