2014 ARS to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0664 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.8356 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8757 EGP

2014 ARS to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.0664. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 0.8356.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2307 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0020 to the December average rate of 0.8369, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.0664 was down 20.96% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.3491, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,332 EGP

2013 Average 6,307 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 4,178 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,153.57 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.0185

0.8204

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9002, compared to 0.8513 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0489 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9002

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8513

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.1977 EGP (High: 1.0664 / Low: 0.8686). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0045 EGP (High: 0.8421 / Low: 0.8376).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1977

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0045

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1162 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1162

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.0020) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.3248), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3228 (-24.36%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.0020

2013 Avg (January) 1.3248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0664	0.8686	1.0020
February	0.8960	0.8683	0.8859
March	0.8853	0.8704	0.8786
April	0.8755	0.8706	0.8728
May	0.8859	0.8757	0.8817
June	0.8851	0.8784	0.8800
July	0.8793	0.8714	0.8768
August	0.8692	0.8506	0.8604
September	0.8512	0.8445	0.8498
October	0.8470	0.8411	0.8437
November	0.8421	0.8376	0.8400
December	0.8433	0.8356	0.8369