YEARLY HIGH
0.4856 EGP
YEARLY LOW
0.2680 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3618 EGP

2019 ARS to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.4856. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.2680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2177 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4785 to the December average rate of 0.2690, the exchange rate registered a net change of -43.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4856 was down 49.66% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.9647, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,428 EGP
2018 Average 3,395 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 1,340 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,088.35 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4994
0.2480
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4203, compared to 0.3033 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1169 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4203
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3033

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0987 EGP (High: 0.3743 / Low: 0.2756). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0024 EGP (High: 0.2714 / Low: 0.2690).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0987
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0024

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0700 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0700

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.4785) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.9319), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4534 (-48.65%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.4785
2018 Avg (January) 0.9319

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4856 0.4682 0.4785
February 0.4759 0.4428 0.4585
March 0.4399 0.3948 0.4213
April 0.4167 0.3741 0.4008
May 0.3874 0.3738 0.3796
June 0.3942 0.3730 0.3829
July 0.3996 0.3776 0.3916
August 0.3743 0.2756 0.3217
September 0.2973 0.2779 0.2896
October 0.2835 0.2693 0.2778
November 0.2714 0.2690 0.2703
December 0.2705 0.2680 0.2690