2016 ARS to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2372 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.4969 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6743 EGP

2016 ARS to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 1.2372. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 0.4969.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7402 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5776 to the December average rate of 1.1624, the exchange rate registered a net change of 101.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2372 was up 40.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8818, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,186 EGP

2015 Average 4,185 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 2,485 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,701.11 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2256

0.4669

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5911, compared to 0.7576 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1665 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5911

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7576

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5994 EGP (High: 1.1873 / Low: 0.5879). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0087 EGP (High: 0.5872 / Low: 0.5786).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5994

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0475 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0475

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.1624) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7056), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4568 (+64.74%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.1624

2015 Avg (December) 0.7056

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6050	0.5631	0.5776
February	0.5572	0.4969	0.5301
March	0.6142	0.4976	0.5650
April	0.6326	0.6005	0.6169
May	0.6387	0.6222	0.6287
June	0.6457	0.5829	0.6281
July	0.6088	0.5900	0.5961
August	0.6059	0.5895	0.5982
September	0.5946	0.5785	0.5880
October	0.5872	0.5786	0.5847
November	1.1873	0.5879	1.0163
December	1.2372	1.1189	1.1624