2015 ARS to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8818 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.5882 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8373 EGP

2015 ARS to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 0.8818. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.5882.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2936 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8452 to the December average rate of 0.7056, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.8818 was down 17.31% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.0664, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,409 EGP

2014 Average 4,379 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 2,941 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,467.90 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.8950

0.6883

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8578, compared to 0.8169 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0409 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8578

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8169

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.2198 EGP (High: 0.8081 / Low: 0.5882). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0078 EGP (High: 0.8556 / Low: 0.8479).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2198

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0078

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1171 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1171

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 0.8778) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.8859), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0081 (-0.91%).

2015 Avg (February) 0.8778

2014 Avg (February) 0.8859

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8789	0.8308	0.8452
February	0.8818	0.8739	0.8778
March	0.8748	0.8639	0.8685
April	0.8676	0.8559	0.8604
May	0.8556	0.8479	0.8518
June	0.8475	0.8383	0.8429
July	0.8585	0.8391	0.8538
August	0.8512	0.8423	0.8468
September	0.8413	0.8308	0.8358
October	0.8463	0.8265	0.8365
November	0.8484	0.8085	0.8227
December	0.8081	0.5882	0.7056