2012 ARS to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2143.0729 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1962.3853 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2063.0004 IDR

2012 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 2143.0729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1962.3853.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 180.6876 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2098.1158 to the December average rate of 1975.1479, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2143.0729 was down 6.30% compared to the 2011 peak of 2287.0842, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,715,364 IDR

2011 Average 10,635,410 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 9,811,927 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 903,437.84 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2120.0653

1961.9735

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2093.1048, compared to 2032.8960 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 60.2088 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2093.1048

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2032.8960

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 83.1734 IDR (High: 2138.5509 / Low: 2055.3775). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.4141 IDR (High: 2066.9576 / Low: 2056.5435).

January Spread (Volatile) ±83.1734

August Spread (Stable) ±10.4141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 31.7711 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -31.7711

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 2106.8910) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2092.2116), the exchange rate shifted by +14.6794 (+0.70%).

2012 Avg (June) 2106.8910

2011 Avg (June) 2092.2116

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2138.5509	2055.3775	2098.1158
February	2097.7575	2050.9756	2073.8554
March	2118.1254	2087.7727	2100.7937
April	2099.3638	2079.3884	2085.9150
May	2142.7804	2072.1392	2093.0578
June	2143.0729	2083.8455	2106.8910
July	2088.4770	2063.5346	2075.7378
August	2066.9576	2056.5435	2061.1601
September	2063.0934	2025.3358	2046.5681
October	2040.7028	2016.1987	2031.8433
November	2019.1535	1987.4272	2006.9190
December	1986.0895	1962.3853	1975.1479