2013 ARS to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1992.1334 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1826.1673 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1905.6570 IDR

2013 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 18, valuing the pair at 1992.1334. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 30, dropping to 1826.1673.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 165.9661 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1951.9687 to the December average rate of 1904.3767, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1992.1334 was down 7.04% compared to the 2012 peak of 2143.0729, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,960,667 IDR

2012 Average 10,314,783 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 9,130,837 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 829,830.69 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1984.6774

1838.6511

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1898.9342, compared to 1912.3798 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.4456 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1898.9342

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1912.3798

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was October, with a trading range of 123.9729 IDR (High: 1985.1032 / Low: 1861.1304). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.3567 IDR (High: 1875.6771 / Low: 1855.3204).

October Spread (Volatile) ±123.9729

May Spread (Stable) ±20.3567

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 42.9465 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -42.9465

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 1972.5086) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2046.5681), the exchange rate shifted by -74.0596 (-3.62%).

2013 Avg (September) 1972.5086

2012 Avg (September) 2046.5681

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1965.9340	1939.3473	1951.9687
February	1950.7190	1919.0738	1933.8123
March	1921.0682	1889.4276	1906.6673
April	1904.8394	1873.9665	1887.0966
May	1875.6771	1855.3204	1863.2403
June	1861.8850	1826.1673	1850.8200
July	1876.7859	1837.7730	1851.1006
August	1949.4920	1851.5095	1890.7044
September	1992.1334	1934.2664	1972.5086
October	1985.1032	1861.1304	1929.5620
November	1943.4259	1908.1014	1926.0264
December	1940.5173	1868.7632	1904.3767