2015 ARS to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1562.9103 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1037.3807 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1453.3420 IDR

2015 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 24, valuing the pair at 1562.9103. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 1037.3807.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 525.5296 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1462.3361 to the December average rate of 1247.8680, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1562.9103 was down 16.33% compared to the 2014 peak of 1867.8663, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,814,552 IDR

2014 Average 7,335,150 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 5,186,903 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,627,648.06 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1565.5219

1218.9903

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1469.9535, compared to 1436.7304 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 33.2231 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1469.9535

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1436.7304

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 399.9940 IDR (High: 1437.3747 / Low: 1037.3807). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.3318 IDR (High: 1469.8397 / Low: 1455.5079).

December Spread (Volatile) ±399.9940

July Spread (Stable) ±14.3318

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 176.9643 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -176.9643

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 1536.6443) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1414.4220), the exchange rate shifted by +122.2222 (+8.64%).

2015 Avg (September) 1536.6443

2014 Avg (September) 1414.4220

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1479.9975	1442.4982	1462.3361
February	1485.0013	1458.5449	1471.2395
March	1506.8162	1474.4562	1489.4993
April	1483.7887	1446.3535	1461.6968
May	1473.0596	1453.7808	1464.6616
June	1481.6114	1454.8591	1470.2878
July	1469.8397	1455.5079	1462.9975
August	1524.7684	1466.0192	1490.1936
September	1562.9103	1511.8687	1536.6443
October	1557.7833	1421.4715	1457.8468
November	1446.6398	1411.1221	1424.8323
December	1437.3747	1037.3807	1247.8680