YEARLY HIGH
384.8413 IDR
YEARLY LOW
231.9993 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
302.5787 IDR

2019 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 384.8413. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 231.9993.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 152.8420 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 378.7654 to the December average rate of 233.9197, the exchange rate registered a net change of -38.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 384.8413 was down 47.68% compared to the 2018 peak of 735.5744, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,924,206 IDR
2018 Average 2,683,709 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 1,159,996 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 764,209.98 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

393.2500
219.4351
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 343.9995, compared to 261.1580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 82.8414 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 343.9995
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 261.1580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 83.2870 IDR (High: 319.7878 / Low: 236.5008). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0703 IDR (High: 236.6119 / Low: 234.5416).

August Spread (Volatile) ±83.2870
November Spread (Stable) ±2.0703

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 54.7865 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -54.7865

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 378.7654) against the same month in 2018 (average: 706.0111), the exchange rate shifted by -327.2457 (-46.35%).

2019 Avg (January) 378.7654
2018 Avg (January) 706.0111

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 384.8413 374.1872 378.7654
February 376.0169 354.6701 366.0349
March 356.9568 323.6401 344.7287
April 338.1720 309.5664 328.3447
May 324.0373 315.0458 320.3045
June 334.4021 317.3779 325.8186
July 338.9284 319.5491 330.9256
August 319.7878 236.5008 276.1391
September 254.3976 238.3914 249.0303
October 246.8247 234.1525 241.3738
November 236.6119 234.5416 235.5596
December 235.9682 231.9993 233.9197